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The fighting in the north has forced two million from their homes and many more in need of food aid

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is travelling to Kenya, where he will be discussing the conflict in neighbouring Ethiopia.

US and UK citizens have been told to leave Ethiopia "while commercial flights are readily available", in the words of a British minister.

This alarming advice, with echoes of Kabul in August, was issued as a rebel force from the northern Tigray region looked like it could be making a move on the capital, Addis Ababa.

A year into the civil war, which has left a humanitarian crisis in its wake, the chorus of outside concern is getting louder.

African and US diplomatic pressure is increasing as what happens in Ethiopia has huge implications for the rest of the region and the wider world.

Why does it matter?

The numbers on their own are shocking.

At least 400,000 people are facing famine-like conditions in the north, 80% of essential medication is not available and more than two million people have been forced from their homes.

The federal government has been accused of deliberately preventing aid from reaching Tigray, which it denies.

In addition, there is evidence of unlawful killings, torture and sexual violence committed by both sides.

But there are also strategic interests.

Ethiopia, with a population of 110 million - the second largest on the continent, had been a key, stable Western ally in a volatile region.

There are concerns that the current fighting could trigger wider violence in this multi-ethnic nation that could even lead to it breaking up. If millions of people were to flee a heightened conflict, its neighbours would find it difficult to cope.

Landlocked Ethiopia borders six countries, two of which are already experiencing conflict - South Sudan and Somalia - and one other, Sudan, has just seen a military takeover.

It has troops in the joint African Union-UN mission fighting Islamist militants in Somalia and there are fears they could be withdrawn if they were needed back home.

Before leaving for his Africa tour, Mr Blinken warned that out-and-out conflict would be "disastrous for the Ethiopian people and also for others in the region".

Troops from Eritrea are already fighting in Ethiopia and a prolonged crisis could suck in other neighbours.

But countries further afield have also been reportedly drawn in.

A demonstrator holds an Ethiopian flag as he takes part in a rally in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on November 7, 2021IMAGE SOURCE,AFP
Image caption, Earlier this month, tens of thousands turned out in Addis Ababa to back the government in the war against the TPLF

Last month, the Reuters news agency said that Turkey had agreed to sell Ethiopia military drones. This deal threatened Turkey's relationship with Egypt, which has its own argument with Ethiopia over a massive dam on the Nile, the report added.

Ethiopia has also purchased Chinese and Iranian weapons, and flights taking off from the United Arab Emirates are being used to transport them, the defence website Oryx reports.

From a US perspective, Ethiopia has long been seen as a reliable ally, especially during the so-called War on Terror.

It has fought against Islamist militants in Somalia on the frontline of that conflict and offered the US use of its airspace during the Iraq war. It was one of a few African countries to join the US' "coalition of the willing".

Stable government in Ethiopia has been vital to that relationship. The US has backed it up financially, handing over $4.2bn (£3.1bn) in aid between 2016 and 2020.

But the US envoy to the region, Jeffrey Feltman, has not shied away from criticising the federal government saying that its policies have resulted in mass starvation, and compared it to the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad.

Is the capital under threat?

After a series of advances by fighters for the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) along a main highway leading from the north into Addis Ababa, the tension cranked up.

The US issued the evacuation call to its citizens and Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed announced a state of emergency and asked for more military recruits.

The Addis Ababa authorities called on people to register weapons.

Another rebel group allied to the TPLF said they were also getting closer to the capital.

The multi-ethnic nature of the city has added to tensions there, with some accusing the authorities of targeting Tigrayans in a series of arrests.

But the Tigrayan forces are still more than 300km from the city - around the town of Kombolcha.

Map of Ethiopia

"It's not the Taliban marching through Afghanistan and taking town after town without firing a bullet," Tibor Nagy, the former US Assistant Secretary of State for Africa, told the BBC.

"Where the TPLF is operating now, there is huge resistance… and it would be a horrendously bloody battle for Addis Ababa."

He believes that taking the capital is being used as a threat in the same way that a nuclear power might use the possibility of launching its weapons.

The TPLF has said that what it really wants is to enable aid supplies to get through to Tigray.

"We will continue to march [towards Addis Ababa]… but it's not so much about Addis Ababa as our intention to arm-twist Abiy to lift the blockade," spokesperson Getachew Reda told BBC Focus on Africa.

The Ethiopian government has designated the TPLF as a terrorist organisation and the prime minister has vowed to fight on.

"We will bury this enemy with our blood and bones and make the glory of Ethiopia high again," Mr Abiy said earlier this month.

Are there any peace talks?

The concern now is that the conflict is entering a new phase and it will become increasingly difficult for either side to step back.

There are also fears the fighting could spread across the country.

The TPLF has allied itself with a series of groups also opposed to the government in a new coalition seeking the end of Mr Abiy's premiership.

The African Union envoy to the region, former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, has spoken about a small "window of opportunity".

"Time is short for any intervention," he told the UN security council after he talking to both sides during a recent visit to Ethiopia.

He is calling for dialogue and a political solution, though has not yet described how that could be achieved.

The response by Ethiopia's UN ambassador, Taye Atske Selassie, encapsulated the difficulties mediators will face. He said he respected the call for dialogue but then went on to describe the TPLF as "a criminal group".

Demonstrators with Tigray flags and posters march on the National Mall in Washington, DC on November 4, 2021IMAGE SOURCE,AFP
Image caption, Tigrayans living in the US marched in Washington DC on the first anniversary of the outbreak of the war

TPLF spokesman Mr Getachew, meanwhile, tweeted that "most 'peace initiatives' are mainly about saving [Prime Minister] Abiy, not about addressing the most critical political challenges in the country".

Of course, negotiations to end wars are by their nature between seemingly implacable foes.

One way to get the two sides to sit down together would be for both the US and China, as well as others countries such as Turkey, to act together, the former US diplomat Mr Nagy argues.

"Abiy would not be able to resist the US and China saying the same thing."

He says the first thing would be to get the fighting to end and make sure aid can be delivered and then gradually explore political options.

What is the war about?

At the root of the conflict is a disagreement between Prime Minister Abiy and the TPLF, which for almost 27 years dominated the whole country, not just Tigray.

Mr Abiy came to power in 2018 on the back of a wave of protests by members of the Oromo ethnic group.

The Oromos - Ethiopia's largest group - long felt marginalised. Mr Abiy, himself an Oromo and part of the ruling coalition, was seen as the man who could resolve the problem.

In a whirlwind of reform, in which he liberalised politics and made peace with long-time foe Eritrea, the TPLF was sidelined.

The simmering dispute between the TPLF and Mr Abiy then erupted into war 12 months ago when Tigrayan forces were accused of attacking army bases to steal weapons and the federal government responded. Source: BBC

TRIPOLI, Libya

Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, son of former Libyan ruler Muammar Gaddafi, submitted his application on Sunday to run in Libya’s upcoming presidential election, according to local media.

Al-Marsad news website published on Facebook a video of Saif al-Islam in the office of the elections commission in the southwestern city of Sabha, where he presented his application.

Saif al-Islam appears in the video wearing a Libyan traditional dress with a long white beard.

Libya’s presidential and parliamentary elections are set to take place on Dec. 24 under an UN-sponsored agreement reached by Libyan political rivals during meetings in Tunisia on Nov. 15, 2020.

The oil-rich country’s electoral commission on Nov. 8 opened registration for candidates in the polls despite ongoing tensions between the parliament, the High Council of State, and the unity government regarding electoral powers and laws.

Libyans hope that the upcoming elections will contribute to ending an armed conflict that has plagued the oil-rich country for years.  

*Writing by Ahmed Asmar in Ankara, AA

Protesters are demanding the handover of the government to civilians to lead the transition to democracy [Ashraf Shazly/AFP]

“One protester was killed in Omdurman by the bullets of the putschist military council,” the Central Committee for Sudanese Doctors said in a statement on Saturday. It added that others were wounded by “live rounds” fired by security forces.

 

Earlier, witnesses said security forces had fired tear gas to disperse protesters in the capital, Khartoum, and its twin city of Omdurman. Despite disruption of communication networks, demonstrations also broke out in the city of Wad Madani, south of Khartoum.

“Protests are continuing, more and more people are joining the protests, they are chanting that they don’t want the military rule,” said Al Jazeera’s Resul Serdar, reporting from Khartoum. 

He added that despite the heavy security presence, protesters seemed determined “to remain in the streets to show their resistance against military rule”.

The “million-person” marches on Saturday come two days after coup leader General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan reappointed himself head of the Sovereign Council, Sudan’s interim governing body.

Thursday’s move angered the pro-democracy alliance and frustrated Western countries that have urged the military to reverse its coup.

The Sudanese military seized power on October 25, dissolving the transitional government and arresting dozens of officials and politicians. The takeover upended the country’s fragile planned transition to democratic rule, more than two years after a popular uprising forced the removal of long time leader Omar al-Bashir. 

 

Security forces closed bridges on Saturday between central Khartoum, Omdurman and Khartoum North to vehicles and pedestrians, laying barbed wire to block access. Roads to strategic sites were also shut.

Saturday’s protests were called by the Sudanese Professionals’ Association (SPA) and the Resistance Committees. Both groups were primary forces behind a popular uprising that led to the military overthrow of Omar al-Bashir in April 2019. 

Both groups have opposed the return to the power-sharing deal that established the deposed transitional government in August 2019. They demand the handover of the government to civilians to lead the transition to democracy, with other political parties and movements joining the call.

“We’re not surprised by the people’s turnout because this is what’s been happening since October 25,” Samahir El Mubarak, SPA spokeswoman, told Al Jazeera from Khartoum.

“This is the voice of the Sudanese people refusing al-Burhan, refusing the military coup and refusing his council, and deeming this entire partnership invalid and totally refused by everybody.

“Unfortunately and as usually, these peaceful protests on the ground are being faced with tear gas, are being faced with gunshots. 

“The number of protesters is increasing. Protesters are setting up barricades to try and protect themselves from the trucks and the vehicles of the joint forces that are facing the protesters,” El Mubarak said.

The United Nations envoy in Sudan, Volker Perthes, urged security forces to “exercise utmost restraint” during the planned protests and called for demonstrators to “maintain the principle of peaceful protest”.

Since the takeover, at least 15 anti-coup protesters have been killed due to excessive force by the country’s security forces, according to Sudanese doctors and the UN. Ongoing mediation efforts seek to find a way out of the crisis. 

Perthes said he held “good discussions” Friday with representatives of the resistance committees in Khartoum, civil society activists and Mohammed Hassan al-Taishi, who was a civilian member of the dissolved sovereign council. Nasredeen Abdulbari, justice minister of the deposed government, also took part. SOURCE: AL JAZEERA AND NEWS AGENCIES

What you need to know:

  • The Sh7.8 billion scandal was a well-crafted scheme where officials took advantage of the pandemic.
  • The investigations into the scandal ordered by President Uhuru Kenyatta have turned out to be a circus.

Sixteen months after the suspension of Kenya Medical Supplies Authority (Kemsa) officials, no prosecution has been carried out and a Parliament report has not been adopted. 

The suspended officials are also still taking home half of their salaries while acting officials in the same positions are also being paid full salary with no prosecutions going on.

The officials were suspended to pave the way for investigations after they were adversely mentioned in the irregular payments relating to the purchase and supply of Covid-19 emergency equipment at the Kemsa.

Those currently in suspension include CEO Jonah Manjari alongside directors Eliud Muriithi (Commercial) and Charles Juma (Procurement).

The Sh7.8 billion scandal was a well-crafted scheme where officials took advantage of the pandemic to buy excess Covid-19 related materials at an exorbitant price.

Sixteen months later, the medical agency is in a dire financial crisis and is not able to supply hospitals with what they need, putting the lives of thousands of Kenyans at risk as they cannot access drugs in public hospitals.

The investigations into the scandal ordered by President Uhuru Kenyatta have turned out to be a circus. To date, no one has been charged in court for any offence even after Auditor-General Nancy Gathungu revealed procurement irregularities that cost taxpayers Sh7.8 billion.

One of the suspended officials who spoke to the Sunday Nation on condition of anonymity questioned why they are not being investigated if they were involved in the scandal.

“But why are we not being investigated. Why are they not taking action if indeed we messed the organisation? This is just a cover-up. They know the people they should go for let them stop these sideshows,” he said. 

“I am still an employee of Kemsa until further notice. I am paid half of my salary. The government should prosecute those found culpable and let the innocent perform their duties and avoid messing with people’s careers. The war on corruption will only be won with utmost objective and integrity.” 

Covid millionaires

In August last year, President Kenyatta gave investigative agencies 21 days to bring masterminds of the “Covid millionaires” scandal to book.

In October, Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) Noordin Haji returned the inquiry files to the Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission (EACC) with claims that there were gaps identified in the inquiry.

Contacted, EACC spokesperson Yassin Amaro could not confirm the status of the file and whether the concerns the DPP raised had been addressed by the ethics.

“I can’t tell you the exact things we were told to tie up because those are matters of the investigators. They are technicalities meant for courts,” Mr Yassin told the Sunday Nation. 

In Parliament, the report produced by MPs has not been debated.

Public Investments Committee (PIC) chairman Abdulswamad Nassir said he had consulted Speaker Justin Muturi who promised him that the report would be scheduled soon for debate and adoption by the house.

“Our report is very clear on who to prosecute, who should not hold public office, who should be investigated by the investigative agencies and who should not be paid,” Mr Nassir told the Sunday Nation.

“I reliably informed that the investigative agencies are already acting on our report,” he added.  

Without the house acting on the report, it means that the investigative agencies cannot act on it yet as it does not have the force of law.

The Auditor-General’s office in September last year in a report tabled before the Senate revealed that Kemsa procured Covid-19 related items at a higher price setting the stage for investigations into the loss of public funds.

However, for anyone to be held responsible for the irregularities, the agencies charged with the investigations had to make their recommendations.

The office of the Director of Public Prosecutions and that of the EACC are yet to finalise their investigations. By Angela Oketch & Samwel Owino, Sunday Nation

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Kenya's Archbishop of Mombasa, Martin Kivuva Musonde flanked by other Bishops. Photo via Vatican News

 

Kenya’s Catholic Bishops meeting recently at Donum Dei Sisters Centre in Karen, Nairobi, have appealed to the country’s Catholic faithful to donate food to regions affected by severe drought.

An appeal to parishes for donations

“The current drought situation affecting nearly all counties in the arid and semi-arid regions of the country is a matter of great concern. It calls for urgent and decisive action from all of us. As your shepherds, we appeal to all the faithful within the parishes and all people of goodwill to express solidarity with our affected brothers and sisters by donating food and giving other forms of assistance, for example, facilitating transportation. Through our dioceses, ways and means should be found to make sure that such donations reach those affected by drought. No Kenyan should die of famine,” the Bishops said in a Pastoral Letter released Thursday.

It cannot be politics and business as usual

The Bishops fault authorities for what they termed a very slow response to the drought situation. They have appealed to the Kenyan Government to respond in a swift and coordinated manner and come to the aid of affected populations to lessen suffering and avert a humanitarian crisis.

The Bishops continued, “It is unfortunate that 58 years after independence, we are unable to come up with permanent solutions to the perennial droughts that affect the country every few years. As a country, we must wean ourselves from the obsession with politics and sensationalism at the expense of other important issues of national concern. It cannot be business as usual when Kenyans continue to starve and even die from droughts which can easily be managed through the establishment of sound mitigation structures,” emphasised the Archbishop of Mombasa and Chairman of the Kenya Conference of Catholic Bishops, Martin Kivuva Musonde. He released the letter to the media.

Droughts are a result of climate change

The Kenyan Bishops also addressed themselves to issues of the environment.

“It is becoming clear that the frequent droughts that we are experiencing in many parts of our country are as a result of global climate change and environmental degradation. Here in Kenya, it seems our model of development has led to a culture of degradation of our environment and the depletion of our natural resources,” reads the Bishops Letter. The Bishops want to see more robust programmes aimed at creating a safe environment for every human person.

We can reduce future climate effects if we act now

In light of Pope Francis’ environmental push, the Bishops in Kenya say they have, in place, a national tree-planting project.

“We are pleased to note that the Government of Kenya, through the Ministry of Environment and Forestry, has embarked on a similar campaign. As a Church, we have joined this campaign in partnership with the Government,” Archbishop Musonde told the media.

He added, “If we all act to conserve the environment, the current effects of climate change that we are witnessing today in the form of perennial droughts, floods, food insecurity, water-borne diseases and respiratory infections will be reduced to manageable levels.”

The Pastoral Letter of the Bishops also highlighted a new liturgical missal, “Misale Ya Kiroma.” The missal will go into use nationwide on the First Sunday of Advent. - Paul Samasumo, Vatican News

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